As AI takes over prediction markets, the “wisdom of the crowd” risks becoming an echo of machines.
I’ll admit something up front: the first time I opened a prediction market app, I was hooked within minutes. There was a question about whether interest rates would drop, another about which AI company would have the best model by the end of the month, and dozens more about sports, weather, and politics. Every question had a price, every price moved, and I felt like I was watching the future being argued over in real time.
It was exciting. It was also the moment I started to feel uneasy.
This report looks at how artificial intelligence is transforming prediction markets, what the technology can and can’t do, and why I believe we have reached a point where we need to ask a hard question: are we going too far?
What Is a Prediction Market?